In this paper, we provide two approximating functions for some dynamics associated with the rst wave of Covid-19 contagion in Italy. We consider also two particular cases of Sicily and Lombardy. We consider only the evolution of total infected cases and new daily cases. We show that the total infected cases need, in the time period considered, two different approximations. We approximate the daily infected curves by the first derivative of the above two functions. In the case of Lombardy, we consider a wider time interval to obtain an ultimate approximation.
Mathematical models for simulating Covid-19 contagion in Italy: first wave
Carfì, DavidPrimo
;Donato, AlessiaUltimo
2020-01-01
Abstract
In this paper, we provide two approximating functions for some dynamics associated with the rst wave of Covid-19 contagion in Italy. We consider also two particular cases of Sicily and Lombardy. We consider only the evolution of total infected cases and new daily cases. We show that the total infected cases need, in the time period considered, two different approximations. We approximate the daily infected curves by the first derivative of the above two functions. In the case of Lombardy, we consider a wider time interval to obtain an ultimate approximation.File in questo prodotto:
File | Dimensione | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|
3-JMEF.pdf
solo utenti autorizzati
Descrizione: Articolo
Tipologia:
Versione Editoriale (PDF)
Licenza:
Tutti i diritti riservati (All rights reserved)
Dimensione
372.29 kB
Formato
Adobe PDF
|
372.29 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizza/Apri Richiedi una copia |
Pubblicazioni consigliate
I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.