Modeling meaningful volatility events to classify monetary policy announcements

Central Bank monetary policy interventions frequently have direct implications for financial market volatility. In this paper, we introduce an intradaily Asymmetric Multiplicative Error Model with Meaningful Volatility (MV) events (AMEM-MV), which decomposes realized variance into a base component and an MV component. A novel model-based classification of monetary announcements is developed based on their impact on the MV component of the variance. By focusing on the 30-minute window following each Federal Reserve communication, we isolate the specific impact of monetary announcements on the volatility of seven US tickers.