Interpreting cancer genetics through a two-step “evolutionary cascade hypothesis”: bridging neutral and selective perspectives

Background: DNA mutations are the fundamental engines of cancer, driving its initiation and progression. The forces that fuel malignancy are also the architects of evolution, shaping life through genetic variations. Mutations, in fact, can emerge naturally from endogenous processes, such as oxidative DNA damage or errors in replication, as well as induced by external factors, including cosmic radiation and chemical carcinogens. Main body: A key question in cancer research is whether tumor evolution is primarily governed by selective bottlenecks, neutral evolution, or dynamic genetic plasticity. In this work, we examine cancer as a disease driven by evolutionary processes rooted in fundamental biological requirements, including sustained proliferation and nutrient utilization. We hypothesize that the accumulation of mutations activates an evolutionary switch, enabling tumor cells to acquire an enhanced capacity for survival, adaptation, and growth at rates far exceeding typical evolutionary timescales. We propose the “evolutionary cascade hypothesis,” a unifying framework that integrates these models into a coherent sequence. At its core lies the failure of DNA repair mechanisms, representing a critical transition in cancer progression. This shift marks the transition from an initial non-Darwinian, neutral phase to a Darwinian, more deterministic phase. Conclusions: As predictive models of tumor evolution advance through genomic big data and artificial intelligence-driven analysis, the future of cancer treatment may extend beyond targeting individual mutations to disrupting the underlying evolutionary mechanisms that sustain malignancy. This paradigm shift could redefine therapeutic strategies and ultimately improve patient outcomes.