Landslides triggered by extreme events, such as heavy rainfall, are often unpredictable and cause significant damage to people and infrastructure. Calculating landslide susceptibility and associated risk in real time is challenging on several fronts, but it would provide valuable assistance in the event of major disasters. In this context, this research project aims to present a cutting-edge system for dynamic landslide susceptibility estimation based on open-source software, open data, and Open Geospatial Consortium (OGC) standards. Using real-time precipitation and geospatial data, the system allows for the calculation of susceptibility following extreme rainfall events, combining Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Random Forest processing. The proposed framework represents a prototypical, Digital Twin-ready terrain system, where dynamic geospatial data and real-time precipitation data are integrated in a predictive machine learning model and published within a WebGIS-based architecture. The system dynamically updates landslide susceptibility information, supporting local authorities and planners in identifying critical areas and enabling timely intervention in the event of imminent danger. The automated WebGIS processing and visualization environment provides a scalable and extensible foundation for future integration of physically based simulations and bidirectional feedback mechanisms, oriented to Digital Twinning Twinning solutions.

WebGIS Dynamic Framework for AHP+Random Forest Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with Open-Source Technologies

La Guardia, Marcello
;
Mussumeci, Giuseppe;
2026-01-01

Abstract

Landslides triggered by extreme events, such as heavy rainfall, are often unpredictable and cause significant damage to people and infrastructure. Calculating landslide susceptibility and associated risk in real time is challenging on several fronts, but it would provide valuable assistance in the event of major disasters. In this context, this research project aims to present a cutting-edge system for dynamic landslide susceptibility estimation based on open-source software, open data, and Open Geospatial Consortium (OGC) standards. Using real-time precipitation and geospatial data, the system allows for the calculation of susceptibility following extreme rainfall events, combining Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Random Forest processing. The proposed framework represents a prototypical, Digital Twin-ready terrain system, where dynamic geospatial data and real-time precipitation data are integrated in a predictive machine learning model and published within a WebGIS-based architecture. The system dynamically updates landslide susceptibility information, supporting local authorities and planners in identifying critical areas and enabling timely intervention in the event of imminent danger. The automated WebGIS processing and visualization environment provides a scalable and extensible foundation for future integration of physically based simulations and bidirectional feedback mechanisms, oriented to Digital Twinning Twinning solutions.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11570/3357356
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