A Sentiment Analysis Anomaly Detection System for Cyber Intelligence

Considering the 2030 United Nations intent of world connection, Cyber Intelligence becomes the main area of the human dimension able of inflicting changes in geopolitical dynamics. In cyberspace, the new battlefield is the mind of people including new weapons like abuse of social media with information manipulation, deception by activists and misinformation. In this paper, a Sentiment Analysis system with Anomaly Detection (SAAD) capability is proposed. The system, scalable and modular, uses an OSINT-Deep Learning approach to investigate on social media sentiment in order to predict suspicious anomaly trend in Twitter posts. Anomaly detection is investigated with a new semi-supervised process that is able to detect potentially dangerous situations in critical areas. The main contributions of the paper are the system suitability for working in different areas and domains, the anomaly detection procedure in sentiment context and a time-dependent confusion matrix to address model evaluation with unbalanced dataset. Real experiments and tests were performed on Sahel Region. The detected anomalies in negative sentiment have been checked by experts of Sahel area, proving true links between the models results and real situations observable from the tweets.